In a context where the United States and other Western countries are reluctant to get involved in the Middle East, the situation in Lebanon could be an exception. The Lebanese government, led by President Joseph Aoun, is actively trying to dismantle Hezbollah, an Iranian-backed jihadist group since the 1980s. This initiative, along with Syria's willingness to block the transit of weapons, suggests a major shift in regional dynamics.
The removal of Hezbollah from Lebanon could end one of Iran's most powerful instruments of regional projection. This would open the door to a formal end to hostilities between Israel and Lebanon, something unthinkable for nearly eight decades. Furthermore, it could draw Lebanon into the broader architecture of regional normalization that is now tentatively taking shape.