Dow Jones futures fell in response to growing signs of a potential US ground intervention in Iran, as the market assesses the implications of increased instability in the region.

The arrival of the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit in the Middle East and the deployment of the 11th MEU, along with thousands of paratroopers from the 82nd Airborne Division, suggest increasing military preparation.

Additionally, the deployment of another 10,000 US troops is under consideration, intensifying concerns on Wall Street.

US oil futures rose 2.4% to $101.99 a barrel, while Brent crude increased 2% to $114.88.

The average gasoline price reached $3.98 per gallon on Sunday, up $1 over the past month, according to AAA.

This situation reflects concerns about the disruption of oil supply and the impact on energy costs globally.

Sources from the Washington Post reported that the Pentagon is preparing for weeks of ground operations in Iran, although the White House claims that a decision has not yet been made.

Possible targets include Kharg Island, the export center for 90% of Iranian oil, and coastal areas near the Strait of Hormuz.

This escalation of tensions could have significant consequences for the global economy.

Yemen-based Houthi rebels launched a missile toward Israel, raising fears that they could also target commercial ships in the Red Sea corridor, disrupting traffic through the Suez Canal.

Iran, for its part, has positioned itself as the guardian of the Strait of Hormuz, threatening drone attacks against ships, which has led more countries to request safe passage and even pay millions of dollars.

The combination of these factors threatens to further disrupt the global oil supply.

Analysts suggest that the war in Iran could last more than six months, with different scenarios for completion.

Byron Callan, an analyst at Capital Alpha Partners, estimates a 25% probability that the war will end at the end of May, 45% in the fall of 2026, and 35% that it will extend until 2027.

In this context, the Federal Reserve and other key economic indicators will be closely monitored, anticipating a significant impact on the markets.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak in the coming weeks, followed by other public appearances by Fed officials.

The S&P Case-Shiller home price index and the job openings and labor turnover report will be released.

In addition, the ADP monthly payroll report, the Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing index, and retail sales data are expected; the market will be closed on Good Friday, but the Labor Department will release its jobs report, with Wall Street expecting a rebound of 45,000 jobs after an unexpected loss of 92,000.